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Assymetric Risks
  • Falsifiability is the only criteria that matters in epistemic matters.

  • Theories that cannot be falsified are no better than myths.

    • Example could be a theory that explains everything thrown at it.
  • Thus theories can be seen as carrying some risk of falsification.

  • Those that carry risk of falsification and survive for a long time become lindy.

  • There is an assymetry in such theories that regardless of successes, only one falsification can destroy the whole theory.

Book: Human Compatible, QuickCheck, Talk: Antifragile Idea Generation,